Hyperion
I was obsessed over coding and Saas lately, but a thought that has been slowly brewing in my mind took over on last the night of 2024. I was going to get into polymarket trading.
Polymarket is essentially stock trading applied to real life events, and in short time frames from one day to one or two years. Generally less than few months or weeks.
The idea is to test with $99 budget so I don't get into the "gambling psychology" and to adopt a hyper aggressive strategy. It's been somewhat working out so far, and I managed to predict 2 big political events. (Yoon not arrested first week of Jan, and Tradeau resigning as Canada's president). They both essentially doubled my bet, but the whole day was stressful.
The point is to remain calculated, manage risk, and be unemotional.
My initial vision was to consistently apply this over months, and make big money. Systematize my strategy, stay aggressive without sinking, and stay consistent.
I would say I was definitely more confident overall, and I do think I am winning more than losing ,but days where the portfolio goes down again, I feel discouragement.
This morning I even started wondering if it was realistic to apply this consistently.
The good thing I'm doing is that I'm not putting all my eggs into this basket. I have about $1500 left after all the mess from Budapest. I am tempted to, but my thought processing is that if I do that, I can easily lose it all, and if I'm going to do this right, I should surpass that amount anyway.
I've been doing a pretty good job not be overwhelmed by emotion, but I do wonder how long that will last.
On the second day I even 9x my bet, and I've been chasing that high since.
I think the hard part is to maintain a calm mind, and not over bet especially as my portfolio grows.
Gotta stay logical no matter what, always seeing both outcomes.
It is thrilling though and I think I might be very good at it.
I'm doing my due diligence as well, reading books on the topic and always consulting chat gpt.
I will try this 2~3 months and see how things go.
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